Probability

Bivariate Normals

Joint PDFs, elliptical contours, and conditional slicing

Joint PDF f(x, y)

Contour view with conditional slice

Key ideas

  • General normals have axis-aligned elliptical contours. Circular when $\sigma_x = \sigma_y$, stretched when they differ.
  • Bivariate ($\rho \neq 0$) tilts the ellipse. The contours are no longer axis-aligned.
  • Slicing at y = c gives f(x|Y=c), a normal with shifted mean $\rho\frac{\sigma_x}{\sigma_y}c$ and reduced variance $\sigma_x^2(1-\rho^2)$.